lobi.bet / track-record / scorecard
Calibration scorecard
How often we’re right, how well-calibrated we are, where we have edge, and where we don’t — computed from every resolved prediction in our public ledger.
Ours is public. Theirs isn’t yet.
Sample size
0
resolved predictions
Hit rate
—
correct direction · market-agnostic
Brier skill
—
vs. naked market · positive is better
Mean Brier
—vs. — mkt
lower is better · 0 = perfect
Scorecard is warming up — no resolved predictions yet. Per “Chachie’s Law” we stay in test mode until 50 predictions have resolved.
See the full calibration
Edge and Pro Desk subscribers see the full calibration curve, the per-regime breakdown (politics / sports / macro / crypto), and hit-rate + Brier skill per confidence bucket. Everything that lives behind this upgrade is reasoning we show on purpose — because institutional products hide theirs, and ours is defensible.