Step 01
Collect
We read every live market on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Beginner On-Ramp
Start here.
Lobi tells you where the crowd is probably wrong and how sure we are. In plain English.
If prediction markets are new to you, this page is the fast way in. One simple model: compare the market's price with our price, read why we disagree, then decide whether you want to go deeper.
The whole product
Market price
61%
Lobi view
68%
The gap between those two numbers is the opportunity. The rest of Lobi is evidence, filtering, and confidence.
What Is A Signal?
Three steps from noisy market to publishable call.
A signal is just a disagreement that survives scrutiny. We do the reading, comparing, and filtering before it reaches you.
Step 02
Compare
We score each one against 5 independent signals: price, flow, history, structure, judgment.
Step 03
Call
When we disagree with the market and multiple signals agree with us, we publish.
Worked Walkthrough
Here is what one real-shaped signal looks like.
This is the beginner version: no memo format, no jargon, just the market view, our view, and why the gap exists.
Worked Example
One market, one disagreement, one simple picture.
You do not need to learn prediction-market jargon to use Lobi. Start by comparing what the market says with what we say.
Market
Fed cuts rates in December
Market says: 61% chance
Market says
crowd view
61%
Lobi says
lobi view
68%
Why we disagree
- 01Recent inflation prints are cooling faster than the market is pricing in.
- 02Fed language has shifted from 'higher for longer' toward 'data dependent.'
- 03Cross-market pricing still looks conservative compared with rate-sensitive assets.
Our Confidence
Medium
Enough agreement to publish, but not a lock. Think "worth paying attention," not "guaranteed."
What This Means For You
If you trust our signal, the market is underpricing this outcome. That's the whole product in one picture.
What Should I Do With A Signal?
Pick the path that matches how serious you are.
You do not need to commit right away. Start with the lightest workflow that still helps you think clearly.
Curious
Browse the live board.
Start with the public feed. No account needed. Just look at what the market says, where Lobi disagrees, and how strong the disagreement is.
Browse live signalsReady To Act
Upgrade to Edge.
If you want filtered signals and data-source counts, move up to the paid layer built for faster scanning and better triage.
See Edge pricingSerious Desk
Apply for Pro Desk.
If this is part of your workflow, not a casual browse, Pro Desk is the application-only research layer with deeper support.
Explore Pro DeskFAQ
Beginner questions, answered plainly.
This page is for orientation. You can learn the workflow before you decide whether any product tier is worth your time.
I've never used a prediction market. Where do I start?
Start on /signals. You can browse live signals without an account, compare the market price with Lobi's view, and get comfortable before doing anything else.
What's the difference between Polymarket and Lobi?
Polymarket is a market venue. Lobi is the filter layer on top. We scan live markets, compare them against multiple signals, and surface the ones where the crowd may be wrong.
Do I need to bet to use Lobi?
No. Lobi is an information product. You can use it to learn how these markets move, audit our calls, or decide whether any signal is worth your attention.
How much does it cost to get started?
Getting started is free. You can browse public signals now, then check /pricing if you want filtered signals, more data, or a higher-touch workflow later.
Low Friction Next Step
Start by seeing the live board. Go deeper only if it earns your attention.
Lobi is an information product. No account is required to understand the core idea. Browse the public signal feed, then use the deeper methodology page if you want the institutional version of the explanation.