MacroLive on Global
Copom / Selic
Will the next Copom decision hold Selic at the current band?
Brazil coverage lane
Mercados de previsão, localmente curados.
🇧🇷Information product first. Brazilian market context where it matters.
Lobi brings published, timestamped forecast signals to the Brazilian market. Information-first. Calibrated. Logged in public.
Cover: Selic, inflation (IPCA), federal elections, state-level markets, and commodity-sensitive Brazilian macro.
Coverage snapshot
Brasil subdomain coming
Publication rule
Public >=85% / Edge >=70% / Pro Desk >=50%
Desk base
Built in Tokyo, routed for Brazil context
Audit trail
Timestamped, public ledger, Brier-scored
Market context
Shown where legal in your jurisdiction
Market Examples
Brazil-relevant markets, presented as an operating grid.
Each lane reflects the dual framing: public research signals first, prediction-market context acknowledged where legal.
InflationLive on Global
IPCA print
Monthly IPCA print relative to consensus and policy path.
FXLive on Global
BRL / USD
Dollar-real closes inside a policy-sensitive band after Fed guidance.
EquitiesComing with Brasil subdomain
Petrobras earnings
Petrobras prints above or below market revenue expectations.
PoliticsComing with Brasil subdomain
2026 federal election
Election scenarios framed as research context where legal in your jurisdiction.
Rates spilloverLive on Global
Fed to Brazil
Fed path translated into BRL pressure, carry, and local rate repricing.
Payments
Pix is visible because subscription payment needs to feel local.
Payment is framed for software and research access, not for venue funding.
Pix
Subscription settlement rail
Billing note
Pay your Edge or Pro Desk subscription via Pix. Instant, BR-native. Pricing is displayed in BRL alongside USD where relevant.
The commercial flow is simple: software subscription, research access, and audit visibility. No deposits, no held funds, no execution wallet.
Clarity on what we are
Lobi.bet é um produto de informação, com sinais de previsão publicados, score Brier e trilha de auditoria pública.
Quando legal em sua jurisdição, mostramos contexto de mercado de previsão para quem já opera em plataformas como Polymarket e Kalshi.
Lobi não opera como uma bolsa de apostas esportivas licenciada no Brasil. Não aceitamos apostas. Vendemos assinatura de inteligência.
English
Lobi.bet is an information product with published forecast signals, Brier scoring, and a public audit trail.
Where legal in your jurisdiction, we show prediction-market context for users who already operate on platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi.
Lobi is not a licensed Brazilian sports-betting exchange. We do not accept bets. We sell intelligence subscriptions.
Market Structure
Polymarket, Kalshi, and Lobi serve different jobs.
The distinction should be explicit for Brazilian users: venue access and research access are not the same product.
Comparison
Polymarket
Kalshi
Lobi
What it is
US-based prediction market. Currently blocked for Brazil access.
US-regulated CFTC event-contract venue. Currently blocked for Brazil access.
Brazil-aware research product with published forecast signals.
Primary use
Execution venue. Not available to Brazilian users.
Execution venue. Not available to Brazilian users.
Research, filtering, and documented signal review.
Positioning
Market access first.
Regulated contract access first.
Information first. We do not take the other side and we do not require Brazilian users to access any restricted venue.
Live coverage
BR users should start with the live global signal feed.
We already tag Brazilian-relevant macro and policy lanes. The dedicated Brasil subdomain is coming, with no committed launch date on this page.
FAQ
Operational questions, answered in both languages.
Default-open because the regulatory distinction matters more when it is obvious than when it is hidden behind interaction.
Isso é aposta esportiva? / Is this sports betting?
Não. Lobi é um produto de informação com sinais publicados, timestamp e score público. It is not a sportsbook, and we do not accept bets.
Preciso de conta em Polymarket/Kalshi? / Do I need a Polymarket or Kalshi account?
Não para usar a pesquisa da Lobi — e ambas as plataformas estão atualmente bloqueadas para acesso a partir do Brasil. Lobi is research you read regardless of execution venue. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are currently restricted from Brazilian access.
Posso receber os sinais em português? / Can I get signals in Portuguese?
Português está no roadmap da cobertura regional. English remains the primary operating language for now, with Brazil-relevant tagging and local framing already live here.
Como pago? / How do I pay?
Assinaturas podem ser pagas via Pix no Brasil e por cartão globalmente. Pix is used for subscription fees to Edge or Pro Desk, not for market funding.
Onde ficam meus dados? / Where is my data?
A infraestrutura principal fica em Tóquio. Subscriber data is encrypted in transit and at rest, and it is not sold.